My bot’s first three weeks of live trading were rough. A deep early drawdown forced me to think hard about whether the strategy or the structure was at fault. Here’s what I changed and why.
A breakdown of how the bot performed in April 2026. Trade counts, drawdown, fee load, and what the per-coin and per-day data revealed about the strategy.
Some coins hit your stop loss on every single FVG trade. I built a filter that bans them automatically. The results were dramatic.
My FVG bot has a win rate around 33%. That sounds bad until you do the expectancy math. Here’s why win rate is one of the most misleading metrics for evaluating a strategy.
I tested my Fair Value Gap bot on 4 quarters of data it had never seen. 3 out of 4 were profitable. Here are the exact numbers.
After trend-following, I built a completely different bot based on Fair Value Gaps. It passed a full year of out-of-sample testing.